Institute of Economic Research,Research Division of Economic Measurement and Statistics
Morikawa Masayuki

Books and Other Publications

1. The Japanese Economy and Policy Challenges in the Post COVID-19 Era
Morikawa, Masayuki (Edit)
University of Tokyo Press 2024.3 (ISBN : 9784130403153)
2. コロナ危機の経済学:提言と分析
森川 正之, 小林 慶一郎 (Joint editor)
日本経済新聞出版 2020.7
3. 生産性 誤解と真実
森川 正之 (Sole author)
日本経済新聞出版社 2018.11
Link
4. サービス立国論:成熟経済を活性化するフロンティア
森川 正之 (Sole author)
日本経済新聞出版社 2016.4
Link
5. サービス産業の生産性分析:ミクロデータによる実証(第57回 日経・経済図書文化賞受賞)
森川 正之 (Sole author)
日本評論社 2014.2
Link
6. 生産性の計測とサービス統計:サービス産業の生産性は低いのか?
森川 正之 (Sole author)
SPRINGブックレット・シリーズ, Vol. 4, 生産性出版 2010.1

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Papers

1. Impact of Minimum Wage Increase on Businesses
Morikawa, Masayuki
日本労働研究雑誌 Vol.771,pp.4-13 2024.10
2. 実質賃金の先行きを考える:価格転嫁・生産性と賃金
森川正之
統計 Vol.2024,No.10,pp.4-11 2024.10
3. Productivity Dynamics of Work from Home: Firm‑level Evidence from Japan (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Journal of Evolutionary Economics Vol.34,No.2,pp.465-487 2024.4
doi
4. 新型コロナと日本経済:回顧と展望
森川正之
森川正之編『コロナ危機後の日本経済と政策課題』, 東京大学出版会. pp.1-28 2024.3
5. Productivity Dynamics of Working from Home (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
The Economic Review Vol.74,No.1-2,pp.026423- 2023.10
doi
6. Productivity Dynamics of Remote Work during the COVID-19 Pandemic (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Industrial Relations Vol.62,No.3,pp.317-331 2023.7
doi
7. Compliance Costs and Productivity: An Approach from Working Hours (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Journal of Regulatory Economics Vol.63,No.3,pp.117-137 2023.6
doi
8. Productivity and Wages of Firms Using COVID-19-related Support Policies (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Social Science Quarterly Vol.104,No.3,pp.202-213 2023.5
9. Firms’ Subjective Uncertainty and Forecast Errors: Survey Evidence from Japan (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Applied Economics Letters Vol.30,No.1,pp.33-36 2023.1
10. 新型コロナ下の在宅勤務と今後の展望
森川正之
季刊住宅土地経済 Vol.127,pp.16-25 2023.1
11. Uncertainty in Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts: Ex post Evaluation of Forecasts by Economics Researchers (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance Vol.85,pp.8-15 2022.8
doi Link
12. Work-from-Home Productivity during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Japan (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Economic Inquiry Vol.60,No.2,pp.508-527 2022.4
13. Impacts of Working from Home on Urban Structure: Implications from the COVID-19 Pandemic
Morikawa, Masayuki
日本不動産学会誌 Vol.35,No.4,pp.42-45 2022.3
14. Minimum Wages and Productivity: Analysis from Panel Data of Japanese Firms (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa Masayuki
The Economic Review Vol.73,No.1,pp.29-48 2022.1
15. Employer-provided Training and Productivity: Evidence from a Panel of Japanese Firms (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies Vol.61,pp.101150- 2021.9
Link
16. 人工知能・ロボットと生産性:サービス産業における新しい自動化技術の利用
森川正之
深尾京司編『サービス産業の生産性と日本経済:JIPデータベースによる実証分析と提言』東京大学出版会 pp.175-200 2021.8
17. Price Competition vs. Quality Competition: Evidence from Firm Surveys (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Journal of Economics and Business Vol.116,pp.106007- 2021.7
Link
18. Uncertainty of Firms' Economic Outlook During the COVID-19 Crisis
Morikawa, Masayuki
Covid Economics Vol.81,pp.1-18 2021.6
Link
19. Productivity of Firms Using Relief Policies during the COVID-19 Crisis (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Economics Letters Vol.203,pp.109869- 2021.6
Link
20. 柔軟な働き方は賃金をどう変化させるか
森川 正之
日本労働研究雑誌 Vol.62,No.10,pp.82-91 2020.10
21. Productivity of Working from Home during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from an Employee Survey
Morikawa, Masayuki
Covid Economics Vol.49,pp.123-147 2020.9
22. Effects of Outside Directors on Firms’ Investments and Performance: Evidence from a Quasi Natural Experiment in Japan (Peer-reviewed)
Morikawa, Masayuki
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies Vol.56,No.June, 101074 2020.6
doi
23. 第4次産業革命の経済効果
森川 正之
矢野誠編『第4次産業革命と日本経済』東京大学出版会 pp.225-236 2020.2
Link
24. 日本の賃金は上がっていない?
森川 正之
『統計』 Vol.2019,No.12,pp.15-20 2019.12
25. Policy Uncertainty and Saving Attitude: Evidence from a Survey on Consumers (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Journal of Consumer Affairs Vol.53,No.3,pp.1297-1311 2019.10
doi
26. Uncertainty over Production Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis Using Monthly Quantitative Survey Data (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Journal of Macroeconomics Vol.60,No.June,pp.163-179 2019.6
doi
27. Dispersion and Volatility of TFPQ and TFPR: Findings from Three Service Industries (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Industrial and Corporate Change Vol.28,No.6,pp.1515-1531 2019.4
doi
28. Innovation in the Service Sector and the Role of Patents and Trade Secrets: Evidence from Japanese Firms (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies Vol.51,No.March,pp.43-51 2019.3
doi
29. 日本の産業競争力向上の課題:生産性と交易条件
森川 正之
『世界経済評論』 No.705,pp.6-13 2019.1
30. Firm Heterogeneity and International Trade in Services (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
The World Economy Vol.42,No.1,pp.268-295 2019.1
doi
31. Occupational Licenses and Labor Market Outcomes in Japan (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Japan and the World Economy Vol.48,No.December,pp.45-56 2018.12
doi
32. サービスの質・価格と消費者の選好 (Peer-reviewed)
森川 正之
『経済研究』 Vol.69,No.4,pp.314-327 2018.10
Link
33. サービスの質と生産性
森川 正之
『統計』 Vol.2018,No.9,pp.37-42 2018.9
34. 取締役会の多様性・独立性と経営成果
森川 正之
『企業会計』 Vol.70,No.7,pp.43-49 2018.7
35. サービス経済化の加速と多様化
森川 正之
深尾京司・中村尚史・中林真幸編『日本経済の歴史: 現代2』岩波書店 pp.246-263 2018.5
Link
36. 工業化時代のサービス産業
森川 正之
深尾京司・中村尚史・中林真幸編『日本経済の歴史:現代1』岩波書店 pp.240-254 2018.1
Link
37. 日本の生産性を高めるには (共著)
森川 正之, 深尾京司
『経済セミナー』 No.2017年8・9 月,pp.8-21 2017.8
38. Firms' Expectations about the Impact of AI and Robotic: Evidence from a Survey (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Economic Inquiry Vol.55,No.2,pp.1054-1063 2017.4
doi
39. How uncertain are economic policies? New evidence from a firm survey (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Economic Analysis and Policy Vol.52,No.December,pp.114-122 2016.12
doi
40. What Types of Policy Uncertainties Matter for Business? (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Pacific Economic Review Vol.21,No.5,pp.527-540 2016.12
doi
41. Factoryless goods producers in Japan (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Japan and the World Economy Vol.40,No.December,pp.9-15 2016.12
doi
42. Business uncertainty and investment: Evidence from Japanese companies (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Journal of Macroeconomics Vol.49,No.September,pp.224-236 2016.9
doi
43. A comparison of the wage structure between the public and private sectors in Japan (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies Vol.39,No.March,pp.73-90 2016.3
doi
44. What types of companies have female directors? Evidence from Japan (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Japan and the World Economy Vol.37-38,No.March-May,pp.1-7 2016.3
doi
45. サービス産業の生産性と労働市場
森川 正之
『日本労働研究雑誌』 Vol.666,pp.16-26 2016.1
Link
46. Are large headquarters unproductive? (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol.119,No.November,pp.422-436 2015.11
doi
47. Postgraduate Education and Labor Market Outcomes: An Empirical Analysis Using Micro Data from Japan (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Industrial Relations Vol.54,No.3,pp.499-520 2015.7
doi
48. Financial constraints on intangible investments: Evidence from Japanese firms
Masayuki Morikawa
Intangibles, Market Failure and Innovation Performance pp.139-155 2015.1
doi Link
49. Financing Intangible Investment
Morikawa Masayuki
Organizational Science Vol.49,No.1,pp.45-52 2015.1
doi Link Link
50. Productivity and survival of family firms in Japan (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Journal of Economics and Business Vol.70,No.November-December,pp.111-125 2013.11
doi
51. 最低賃金と地域間格差:実質賃金と企業収益の分析
森川 正之
大竹文雄・川口大司・鶴光太郎 編『最低賃金改革:日本の働き方をいかに変えるか』日本評論社, 第4章 pp.91-111 2013.7
Link
52. Demand fluctuations and productivity of service industries (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Economics Letters Vol.117,No.1,pp.256-258 2012.10
doi
53. Population density and efficiency in energy consumption: An empirical analysis of service establishments (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Energy Economics Vol.34,No.5,pp.1617-1622 2012.9
doi
54. Economies of density and productivity in service industries: An analysis of personal service industries based on establishment-level data (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Review of Economics and Statistics Vol.93,No.1,pp.179-192 2011.2
doi
55. Labor unions and productivity: An empirical analysis using Japanese firm-level data (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Labour Economics Vol.17,No.6,pp.1030-1037 2010.12
doi
56. Information technology and the performance of Japanese SMEs (Peer-reviewed)
Masayuki Morikawa
Small Business Economics Vol.23,No.3,pp.171-177 2004.10
doi Link
57. 親会社の事業展開と子会社の事業展開:日本企業の多角化・集中化の要因と効果に関する実証分析
森川 正之
『通産研究レビュー』大蔵省印刷局 No.11,pp.124-159 1998.5
Link
58. Wage Differentials between Industries in Asian Countries (jointly worked)
Toshiaki Tachibanaki, Masayuki Morikawa, Taro Nishimura
in Toshiaki Tachibanaki ed., Wage Differentials: An International Comparison, Macmillan, Ch.10 pp.328-367 1998.1
doi
59. 機械工業と地域経済の発展:都道府県経済の成長要因に関する分析
森川 正之
『通産研究レビュー』大蔵省印刷局 No.10,pp.64-90 1997.5
60. 為替レートはどう決まるか (共著)
森川 正之, 小宮隆太郎
河合正弘・通商産業研究所編『円高はなぜ起こる』東洋経済新報社, 各論第1章 pp.107-144 1995.9
61. Economic Development in Asian Countries, and the Effect of Trade in Asia on Employment and Wages in Japan (jointly worked) (Peer-reviewed)
Toshiaki Tachibanaki, Masayuki Morikawa, Taro Nishimura
Asian Economic Journal Vol.12,No.2,pp.123-151 1988.6
doi

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Misc.

1. Compliance Costs of Regulations and Productivity
Morikawa, Masayuki
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper Vol.22-P-025 2022.9
2. Uncertainty of Firms’ Medium-Term Outlook During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Morikawa, Masayuki
RIETI Discussion Paper Vol.22-E-079 2022.8
3. Firms’ Knightian Uncertainty During the COVID-19 Crisis
Morikawa, Masayuki
RIETI Discussion Paper Vol.22-E-089 2022.8
4. Productivity and Wages of Firms Using COVID-19-Related Support Policies
Morikawa, Masayuki
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper Vol.22-P-021 2022.8
5. Productivity Dynamics of Work from Home since the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from a Panel of Firm Surveys
Morikawa, Masayuki
RIETI Discussion Paper Vol.22-E-061 2022.7
6. Productivity Dynamics of Working from Home during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from a Panel of Firm Surveys
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper Vol.22J-005 2022.2
7. Productivity, Wages, and Profitability of Firms Using COVID-19-related Support Policies
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper Vol.22-P-002 2022.2
8. Productivity of Working from Home during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Panel Data Analysis
Morikawa, Masayuki
RIETI Discussion Paper Vol.21-E-078 2021.9
9. COVID-19, Vaccination, and Consumer Behavior
Morikawa, Masayuki
RIETI Discussion Paper Vol.21-E-079 2021.9
10. コロナ危機と企業の経済見通しの不確実性
森川 正之
RIETI Discussion Paper, 21-J-024 2021.5
Link
11. Productivity of Working from Home during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from a Firm Survey
MORIKAWA, Masayuki
RIETI Discussion Paper, 21-E-002 2021.1
Link
12. コロナ危機対策利用企業の生産性
森川 正之
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper, 20-P-031 2020.12
Link
13. 新型コロナの影響と政策対応への認識:個人サーベイに基づく観察
森川 正之
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper, 20-P-020 2020.8
Link
14. 新型コロナ危機と経済政策
森川 正之
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper, 20-P-014 2020.5
Link
15. 消費税率引き上げ対策と消費者行動:個人サーベイによる分析
森川 正之
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper, 20-P-008 2020.3
Link
16. AI利用と働き方・生産性:個人サーベイに基づく分析
森川 正之
RIETI Discussion Paper, 20-J016 2020.3
Link
17. Heterogeneous Relationships between Automation Technologies and Skilled Labor: Evidence from a Firm Survey
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 20-E-004 2020.1
Link
18. Minimum Wages and Productivity: Evidence from Japan
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper, 19-P015 2019.9
Link
19. 人工知能と企業経営:アップデート
森川 正之
RIETI Discussion Paper, 2019.8
Link
20. 毎勤データ修正の生産性分析への影響
森川 正之
RIETI Discussion Paper, 19-J-029 2019.5
Link
21. Measuring Firm-Level Uncertainty: New Evidence from a Business Outlook Survey
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 18-E-030 2018.5
Link
22. Long Commuting Time and the Benefits of Telecommuting
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 18-E-025 2018.4
Link
23. Smoking, Obesity, and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Japan
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 18-E-023 2018.4
Link
24. Effects of Distance and Borders on International and Interregional Tourist Flows: A Micro-Gravity Analysis
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 18-E-021 2018.4
Link
25. Uncertainty over Working Schedules and Compensating Wage Differentials: From the Viewpoint of Labor Management
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 18-E-015 2018.3
Link
26. Impact of Foreign Tourists on Productivity in the Accommodation Industry: A Panel Data Analysis
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 17-E-106 2017.8
Link
27. Are Part-Time Employees Underpaid or Overpaid? Productivity–Wage Gaps in Japan
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 17-E-077 2017.5
Link
28. Who Are Afraid of Losing Their Jobs to Artificial Intelligence and Robots? Evidence from a Survey
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 17-E-069 2017.5
Link
29. Location and Productivity of Knowledge- and Information-Intensive Business Services
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 16-E-067 2016.5
Link
30. Foreign Tourists and Capacity Utilization in the Accommodation Industry
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 16-E-064 2016.4
Link
31. Uncertainty over Exchange Rates and Exports: Evidence from Dispersion of Expectations as a Measure of Uncertainty
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 16-E-010 2016.2
Link
32. 経済成長政策の定量的効果について:既存研究に基づく概観
森川 正之
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper, 15-P-001 2015.2
Link
33. Business Restructuring of Japanese Firms: Structural Changes during the ‘Lost Decades’
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 13-E-083 2013.9
Link
34. 日本企業の構造変化:経営戦略・内部組織・企業行動
森川 正之
RIETI Discussion Paper, 12-J-017 2012.5
Link
35. 東日本大震災の影響と経済成長政策:企業アンケート調査から
森川 正之
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper, 12-P-010 2012.5
Link
36. Stock Options and Productivity: An Empirical Analysis of Japanese Firms
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 12-E-011 2012.2
Link
37. Urban Density, Human Capital, and Productivity: An Empirical Analysis Using Wage Data
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 11-E-060 2011.7
Link
38. 社会保障制度と財政:財政の持続可能性・効率性・公平性
森川 正之
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper, 10-P-011 2010.11
Link
39. Economies of Scale and Hospital Productivity: An Empirical Analysis of Medical Area Level Panel Data
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 10-E-050 2010.10
Link
40. Insecurity of Employment and Work-Life Balance: From the Viewpoint of Compensating Wage Differentials
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 10-E-052 2010.10
Link
41. Volatility, Nonstandard Employment, and Productivity: An Empirical Analysis Using Firm-Level Data
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 10-E-025 2010.4
Link
42. Working Hours of Part-Timers and the Measurement of Firm-Level Productivity
Masayuki Morikawa
RIETI Discussion Paper, 10-E-015 2010.4
Link
43. RIETI の生産性研究について:成長政策の実務のための鳥瞰
森川 正之
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper, 10-P-003 2010.3
Link
44. サービス産業の生産性分析:政策的視点からのサーベイ
森川 正之
日本銀行ワーキングペーパ ー, 09-J-12 2009.12
Link
45. 社会保障・税制と所得分配・経済成長:政策効果の概算
森川 正之
RIETI Policy Discussion Paper, 08-P-004 2008.7
Link

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Presentations

No. Name of subject/Conference Name Year Site
1. 生産性向上と規制・ルール緩和(日本経済研究センター)
Holding date :
Presentation date : 2024.3.26
2. AIと雇用・生産性(東北大学・経済産業研究所共催シポジウム)
Holding date :
Presentation date : 2024.3.18
3. サービス産業の生産性(経済同友会・サービス産業活性化委員会)
Holding date :
Presentation date : 2023.10.30
4. EBPMについて(経済産業研究所・EBPMシンポジウム)
Holding date :
Presentation date : 2023.9.8
5. 経済の展望について(内閣府・経済政策フォーラム)
Holding date :
Presentation date : 2023.8.28
6. 規制改革と生産性(経団連・行政改革推進委員会)
Holding date :
Presentation date : 2023.7.25
7. サービス産業の生産性(日本経済学会パネル)
Holding date :
Presentation date : 2023.5.28
8. Teleworking Productivity: How to mitigate the impact of Coronavirus?(CEPR-RIETI Webinar Economics in the time of Covid-19: The economic impact on Asia)
Holding date :
Presentation date : 2020.3.24
Video (YouTube)

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Awards

No. Award name Year
1. 日経経済図書文化賞 2014.11

Research Projects

No. Research subject Research item(Awarding organization, System name) Year
1. COVID-19 crisis and structural change of service industries
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
( Awarding organization: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science System name: Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B) )
2021.4 - 2025.3
2. Understanding Long-term Economic Stagnation in Japan
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)
( Awarding organization: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science System name: Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A) )
2020.4 - 2024.3
3. Evaluating the Effects of Recent Industrial Policies on Productivity: Micro Data Analysis
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
( Awarding organization: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science System name: Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B) )
2018.4 - 2022.3
4. Service Sector Productivity in Japan: Determinants and Policies
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (S)
( Awarding organization: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science System name: Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research )
2016.5 - 2021.3
5. Dynamic Analysis on Productivity in the Service Industries
Link
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
( Awarding organization: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science System name: Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B) )
2014.4 - 2019.3
6. Empirical Study on Uncertainty and Firm Behavior Using Micro Data
Link
Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research
( Awarding organization: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science System name: Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research )
2014.4 - 2017.3
7. Empirical study on corporate governance, human resources management, and productivity
Link
Scientific Research (B)
( Awarding organization: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science System name: Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research )
2011.4 - 2015.3
8. Analysis of the Characteristics of the Innovation System for the JSIC Service Sector
Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research
( Awarding organization: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science System name: Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research )
2010 - 2011
9. サービス産業の生産性と雇用に関する実証研究
Link
基盤研究(C)
( Awarding organization: 日本学術振興会 System name: 科学研究費助成事業 )
2008.4 - 2009.3
10. 日本企業の事業転換・多角化の要因及び効果に関する実証研究
Link
奨励研究
( Awarding organization: 日本学術振興会 System name: 科学研究費助成事業 )
1997.4 - 1999.3
11. 製造業のリストラクチャリングと調整援助政策に関する実証研究
Link
奨励研究
( Awarding organization: 日本学術振興会 System name: 科学研究費助成事業 )
1996.4 - 1997.3

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